INA projects that the Paraná will reach 5.20 meters in Rosario on November 24, with a maximum of 5.50 above the 5.30 evacuation level. On November 11 it stood at 4.40 meters and several stations had already exceeded their evacuation levels.
The Paraná River is still rising and the Instituto Nacional del Agua (INA) anticipates that it could reach evacuation levels in Rosario toward the second half of November. According to the Hydrometric Forecast for the Paraná River in its Argentine stretch, published on November 10, the water level would reach 5.20 meters on November 24, with an extreme scenario of up to 5.50 meters, above the evacuation level set at 5.30 meters.
For Tuesday, November 17, a central value of 5.02 meters is expected in Rosario, with a range of between 4.60 and 5.30 meters. A week later, the central projection rises to 5.20 meters, with a minimum of 4.80 and a maximum of 5.50 meters. At that port, the alert level is set at 5 meters.
The upward trend is already reflected in the measurements: on Wednesday, November 11, the Paraná stood at 4.40 meters at Rosario. The situation comes in a context of widespread flooding, with stations such as Barranqueras, La Paz, Goya and Reconquista already recording levels above their respective evacuation levels.
The phenomenon is associated with rainfall recorded in the Plata basin, linked to the influence of El Niño. Authorities warned that the forecast levels are "high enough" to cause complications along the Rosario riverside, especially in areas occupied by commercial activities and homes, including the El Mangrullo neighborhood.
In any case, the scenario is still subject to the evolution of rainfall in the Litoral region. INA clarified that its estimates represent trends of average daily values and announced a new update of the forecast for Friday, November 13.
