The European Commission acknowledged the increased ambition of Poland's National Energy and Climate Plan and confirmed that Warsaw is on track to reduce its emissions by 17.7% in 2030 compared with 2005, although a projected gap persists in carbon removals from the LULUCF sector.
The European Commission published its assessment of Poland's updated National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP), in which it acknowledges greater ambition than in the draft and stresses that full implementation of the plan would allow the country to meet its national climate and energy targets for 2030, as well as contributing significantly to the EU's 2040 and 2050 goals.
The assessment concludes that Poland is on track to meet its Effort Sharing Regulation target, which envisages a 17.7% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 compared with 2005.
In the land use, land-use change and forestry (LULUCF) sector, the plan's projections for 2030 anticipate a significant increase in carbon removals. Nevertheless, Poland still has a projected gap against its 2030 LULUCF target.
On renewable energy, Poland's updated national contribution now aligns with the EU's overall 2030 renewable energy target. Even so, Brussels considers that Poland must introduce additional measures in heating and cooling, as well as in transport and industry, to raise the share of renewables in those sectors.
The updated plan also increases the expected contribution of energy efficiency to Poland's primary and final energy consumption in 2030, in line with the EU target. Poland expects its measures in the buildings sector to deliver a major share of the energy savings achieved.
The assessment includes guidance for implementing the plan: increasing carbon removals under the LULUCF Regulation, introducing firmer measures in the buildings sector and phasing out fossil fuel subsidies.
The Commission also stresses the particular need to adopt ambitious policies for 2030, 2040 and 2050 that guarantee greater energy savings in buildings.
The Commission's assessment complements the EU-wide analysis published on 28 May 2025. Poland was the last EU country to submit its plan, so with this publication, all 27 National Energy and Climate Plans for 2030 have now been updated and assessed.
EU countries must report on the implementation of their NECPs in March 2027. The Commission will continue to monitor progress, work with countries to close the remaining gaps and mobilise funding, with a particular focus on the use of public funds to de-risk investments and unlock private financing.
