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The report from the USDA office in Canberra projects an Australian grain harvest above previous estimates, with exceptionally high yields in wheat and barley. The result consolidates Australia's position as a key supplier in the Asian market and pressures international prices.
Australia is one of the world's leading exporters of wheat and barley, with significant participation in Asian markets. Weather conditions for the 2025/26 campaign were particularly favorable in the main producing regions.
The combination of record planted area and good weather explains the estimated productive jump.
According to the analysis released by the USDA office, the Australian wheat harvest would exceed 36 million tonnes, while barley would stand at historically high levels. Exports of both cereals would grow accordingly.
The report also highlights improvements in average yields and grain quality.
The greater Australian supply pressures international prices in a context where other exporters, such as Russia and Ukraine, are also showing recovery. For Asian buyers, the abundance of supply translates into better purchase conditions.
For South American exporters, the scenario implies competing with tighter margins in markets where Australia has logistical advantages.
